5th February 2024; Since we first published this blog more evidence and information has come to light. We have updated the blog accordingly.
TAG have been consistently raising concerns over the abuse of the DANGER signs at Long Valley. Since their implementation combined with installing fencing and use for the 2018 Farnborough Air Show (which apparently lasted 2 months) the desire to exclude recreational access at all times irrespective of use or risk has been endemic. Just in case anyone was wondering the Air Show is a civilian event (not military training) and did not require all 950 acres at all times. But that’s what DIO’s DANGER signs claimed.

But before we dig deeper into the failings let remind ourselves what DIO used to justify the fence and £250k spend. Hung on the fence are laminated signs setting out DIO justification.
The DANGER signs assert military training is underway and poses risks greater than the regular dry training conducted on the rest of the open estate. To be telling the truth both conditions need to be true.
But as TAG have demonstrated back in 2020, 119 hours of use from a total of 2200 hours of locked access cannot be described as balanced or rational.
Nor can it fit the direct instruction from the Minister of State for Defence Procurement, Jeremy Quin MP.
In July 2019 the Minister assured residents:
“I can however assure you that officials have been directed to ensure that existing gates are open for public access to Long Valley when it’s not in use for military training.”
JEREMY QUIN MP – SECRETARY OF STATE FOR DEFENCE PROCUREMENT – LETTER TO CONSTITUENT JULY 2019.
That’s DIO’s political boss making it really, really clear. Except DIO have clearly not got the memo. Or are unwilling or unable to implement it. Or treat Ministers with contempt.
Neither the local politicians or the Junior Minister picked up on the simple fact DIO staff are ignoring them.
Deleted Records? Make Your Own
Not long after TAG started analysing the booking on and off records DIO started deleting them within 48 hours.
The “no good business reason” justification was given but TAG take the view DIO are deleting stuff that is so inconvenient and directly challenging the “always in use” excuse to keep people out. Sharing this stuff just does not fit their narrative or desire to exclude recreation.
The fact is, there is a thing called the Seven Principles of Public Life and these are supposed to guide civil servants and their behaviour.
1.3 Objectivity clearly says “...using the best evidence and without discrimination or bias.“
TAG firmly believe the local community is not being served here. Cyclists remain discriminated against while simultaneously other groups are welcomed with a dedicated contact or charged a fee and free to carry on. Gates remain locked for days at a time when the evidence is clear and nothing – certainly not dangerous training – is happening.
Standards do not say “delete anything inconvenient”. TAG firmly believes the in-use records will exist and are held elsewhere but DIO would rather not share them publicly for scrutiny.
In the meantime DIO expect the local community to serve up obedience to signs that are not communicating a valid and truthful message.
So TAG set out to gather their own set of evidence.
Visual Records
The soft, sandy soil of Long Valley is like an Etch-a-Sketch pad. The tracks and marks of anything left by a vehicle, dog walker, cyclist, deer or even a snake are quickly weathered.
Every day is a blank slate. By observing the changes and state of the tracks it becomes easy to take a very good estimation of what has – or has not – happened in the previous 24~72 hours.
And if you take a picture a permanent record is created. Smartphones will record not only the scene but the latitude & longitude and GPS derived time of where and when the image was created.

Which is exactly what TAG supporters have been doing, starting in 2018 and increasing after DIO announced booking on/off records were being quickly deleted.
TAG now have 750 950 1040 individual images creating a persistent record of when, what and where was going on in Long Valley.
Here’s a selection of what recent use looks like:






And here is a selection of what little or no use, or who used it last, looks like.














The sequence of tracks is important – cycle tracks over tyre makes show who and how many have used the area since a vehicle has passed through. Clear puddles show no recent vehicle movements and so speak for themselves.
Update: On quiet weeks where nothing moved, one vehicle would transit the area. Was this training? Or something else? TAG pondered this for a while and then the likely answer was found in the Aldershot Standing Orders.
Combat Service Support Training and Development Unit (CSS TDU) operates the test track and this:
...CSS TDU is to inspect the condition of the track and barriers at least once a week…
Which struggles to qualify as military training. The vehicle leaving the weekly tracks is staff simply inspecting the routes. It wont need 24/7 lockout to achieve this.
Sometimes the only evidence of vehicles moving around – mostly outside of the designated driver training areas – is the pickup carrying the person charged with locking the gates.

The clues of what has been going on can, with careful observation, be read.
How fresh are the tracks?
What has the weather been doing?
What tracks are present and in what order?
What is the vehicle tread type or walkers shoe pattern?
Are there dog tracks too?
How clear are the puddles?
How many weeds are growing in the test track?
It boils down to two primary indicators. Just like objectively measuring wear on MTB trails its the presence or absence of change that tells the story.
All of these are pointers that on their own don’t tell much. But together collectively build up a fuller picture.
The fence itself, whilst very unwelcome, makes it easier to monitor the space. Gates create natural pinch points that anyone and anything must pass through. Presence or absence of fresh tracks is a strong indicator as to how much the land is being used.
The short answer of how much use is “not much”. The status quo established in 2020/21 with just 119 hours from 2200 hours of locked gates remains broadly consistent today.
The Evidence
With such a rich set of evidence it’s difficult to share all of it in an easy to digest form. TAG are willing to consider any requests to review the evidence gathered and any interested party may request a copy by dropping an email to info@trailactiongroup.co.uk
The data about the images tells its own story. In the link below TAG have shared the list of images, latitude & longitude (WGS84 is the datum), and time/dates as an Excel spreadsheet:
Based on that list DIO should be able to correlate the times and dates to their own records. Providing evidence that demonstrates a) when training was underway and b) the training carried a risk profile higher than regular stuff that happens across the rest of the estate should be easy.
On this point TAG firmly welcome any and all evidence based challenge. And TAG will take a moment to remind everyone that civil servants are required to use the best evidence.
Equally, TAG will take silence from DIO as acquiescence and tacit confirmation Long Valley really is more empty than in use.
Or to put it another way “Because we said so” won’t pass the test.
TAG now believe DIO will seek to apply the same “When we say so” rules of access everywhere if they can get away with it. DIO staff are already on record stating new byelaws will contain closed and restricted areas and Long Valley access policy is very much the canary in the coal mine warning of a highly restrictive future if nothing is done.
February update: Long Valley has been closed for weeks and there has been little sign of use. All of this changed on Sunday 4th of February when the area saw plenty of activity. The local drag hunt were granted access, yet the gates were locked and the DANGER signs proclaimed military training.


Times are hard and budgets tight. Military training reverting to horses might save money on armoured vehicles and we know the Ajax program is over budget and late…But this more Pony Club than Light Brigade. Civilian events fail to meet the minimum test for closure of military training. DIO will permit recreation if it’s the right kind. Double standards? We certainly think so.
No one minds the local horse riders enjoying the space and we would welcome more equestrians. What remains deeply objectionable is DIO and their continued efforts to publish mendacious information, claim the area is dangerous and lock the public out. Asking the local community to believe false claims is simply not acceptable.
With Caesars Camp and Beacon Hill busy with military training – including blank firing – Long Valley remains empty and yet denied as an alternative for casual recreation. DIO are really pushing an agenda of conflict instead of working towards a positive outcome for all users – military and civvy alike.

TAG, and indeed the wider community, would welcome an explaination from DIO here. We all deserve some help in understanding how recreational equestrian use on a vehicle test track remains compatible with signs that declare the area is being actively used for military training, and said training is dangerous.
Put it simply, if the rest of the estate sees Long Valley style restrictions we can all kiss goodbye casual recreational access when not in use (or when DIO say it is not in use – Easter and Christmas / New Year?). We will remain at the whim and ego of DIO senior management, who will unilaterally decide when access is appropriate and consider high days and holidays suffice for us mere proles.
The Outcome
The track record of DIO staff meeting direct Ministerial instructions (Jeremy Quin) and MOD policy for access when not in use is abysmal. One immediate outcome should see gates unlocked when not in use.
Even when on their own website they state the land is open after 16.30pm as published on the Gov website the signs do not reflect this.
Left unchecked DIO are, on balance, more likely to serve up more restrictions, more locked gates and more empty space irrespective of actual use. Its all a ratchet that clicks one way.
All statements to the contrary – from politicians and MoD – should be measured against the evidence and treated as false until proved by deeds and actions. The ratchet clicks. Access is lost. In less than a decade it’s gone.
Is that a future we want?
TAG think not.
That is why openly challenging and raising questions about the lack of recreational access at Long Valley is critically important.
Long Valley presented an alternative space when Caesars Camp was busy. By closing off 950 acres irrespective of use DIO are driving conflict. TAG would not be surprised to find DIO seeking to trigger more disruption and conflict between recreational users and the army, stuff that would in their eyes justify more restrictions and serve to strengthen the DIO desire to remove casual public access.
And this is why we are asking everyone to raise the matter with their local MP.
You do not need to be a user of Long Valley to raise these concerns, just be aware of the systemic risks posed by DIO to our recreational future.
If you are still not sure and think DIO are really nice chaps seeking harmony and cooperation with the community, just ask the residents of Ash (or indeed serving military personnel) how DIO treated them during the pandemic. If there is ever a guide book to be written on how to disengage and enrage an otherwise previously supportive community then DIO would be that author.
TAG have little faith in the political process and the local MPs. The evidence suggests DIO run rings around them and even Ranil Jayawardena MP seems unwilling to challenge DIO over a few simple extra gates that were promised.
But we do have an election coming and how DIO have treated our community is going to be a factor.
And finally, don’t believe any “…not intention of MOD to restrict access…” guff if and when an MP replies.
This is comfort jargon – handy soothing phrases intended to make us feel like everything is going to be fine but the reality is different. Government bodies like DIO and politicians are skilled at this form of communication but it’s quickly shredded as meaningless bullshit when checked against reality and measured against outcomes.
All the evidence and outcomes thus far directly and irrefutably demonstrates that DIO has every intention to restrict access, perhaps the early steps in a strategy to sell off the land for housing?
When deeds, actions and outcomes are measured, such words are seen to be meaningless soundbites and spin.








































